ASU Economic Impacts of the Russia Ukraine War Paper

These are the readings we have done in the course. I am sending this to you to simply to help give you an idea of a good topic for an eventual 10-15 page page paper I will write from this research brief.

I. The correlates of war and the decision to rebel

Blattman C. and E. Miguel (2010) “Civil War.” Journal of Economic Literature, 48 (1): 3-57.

Week 2. The correlates of war (proximate causes): economic growth and income shocks

Miguel E., Satyanath S. and E. Sergenti (2004) “Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict: An
Instrumental Variable Approach.” Journal of Political Economy, 112(4):725-753.

Chassang, Sylvain and Gerard Padró i Miquel (2009). “Economic Shocks and Civil War”
Quarterly Journal of Political Science, 4: 211-228.

Week 3. The correlates of war (proximate causes): the rapacity effect

Dube, O. and J.F. Vargas (2016) “Commodity Price Shocks and Civil Conflict: Evidence from
Colombia.” Review of Economic Studies, 80(4): 1384-1421.

Nunn, N. and N. Qian (2014) “US Food Aid and Civil Conflict.” American Economic Review,
104(6): 1630-1666.

Week 4. The correlates of war (proximate causes): ethnic conflict

Esteban, J., L. Mayoral and D. Ray (2012) “Ethnicity and Conflict: An Empirical Study.”
American Economic Review, 102(4): 1310-1342.

Durante, R. and E. Zhuravskaya (2018) “Attack When the World Is Not Watching? US News
and the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict.” Journal of Political Economy, 126(3): 1085-1133.

Week 5. The individual decision to participate in war

Rogall, T. (2021) “Mobilizing the Masses for Genocide.” American Economic Review, 111(1):
41-72.

Humpreys, M. and J.M. Weinstein (2008) “Who Fights? The Determinants of Civil War.”
American Journal of Political Science, 52(2): 436-455.

Week 6. Counterinsurgency

Berman, E., J.H. Felter and J. N. Shapiro (2011) “Can Hearts and Minds Be Bought? The
Economics of Counterinsurgency in Iraq.” Journal of Political Economy, 119(4): 766-819.

Lyall, J., G. Blair and K. Imai (2013) “Explaining Support for Combatants during Wartime: A
Survey Experiment in Afghanistan.” American Political Science Review, 107(4): 679-705.

Week 7. Natural Resources and War

Guidolin, M., and E. La Ferrara (2007) “Diamonds Are Forever, Wars Are Not: Is Conflict Bad
for Private Firms?” American Economic Review, 97 (5): 1978-1993.

Berman, N., M. Couttenier, D. Rohner, and M. Thoenig. 2017. “This Mine Is Mine! How
Minerals Fuel Conflicts in Africa.” American Economic Review, 107 (6): 1564-1610.

Week 8. Discussion of Research Briefs

Week 9. Yale Spring Break

II. The economic legacies of conflict

Justino, P. (2012) “War and Poverty” in The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Peace
and Conflict (eds. Garkfinkel M.R. and S. Skarpedas).

Week 10. Human Capital: Education

León, G. (2012) “Civil Conflict and Human Capital Accumulation: The Long-Term Effects of
Political Violence in Perú.” Journal of Human Resources, 47(4): 991-1022.

Valente, C. (2014) “Education and Civil Conflict in Nepal.” World Bank Economic Review,
28(2): 354-383.

Week 11. Human Capital: Health

Camacho, A. (2008) “Stress and Birth Weight: Evidence from Terrorist Attacks.” American
Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 98(2): 511-515. + Verwimp, P. (2012)
“Undernutrition, Subsequent Risk of Mortality and Civil War in Burundi.” Economics and
Human Biology, 10: 221-231.

Reynal-Querol, M. and J. G. Montalvo (2007) “Fighting against malaria: prevent wars while
waiting for the miraculous vaccines).” Review of Economics and Statistics, 89 (1): 165-177.

Week 12. Local institutions: participation in organization and collective action

Bellows, J. and E. Miguel (2009) “War and Local Collective Action in Sierra Leone.” Journal
of Public Economics 93(11-12): 1144-1157.
Acemoglu, D., J.A. Robinson, and R. Santos (2013). “The Monopoly of Violence: Evidence
from Colombia.” Journal of the European Economic Association, 11(1): 5-44.

Week 13. Aggregate Economic Consequences

Abadie A. and J. Gardeazabal (2003). “The Economic Costs of Conflict: A Case Study of the
Basque Country.” American Economic Review, 93(1): 113-132.

Besley, T. and H. Mueller (2012). “Estimating the Peace Dividend: The Impact of Violence
on House Prices in Ireland”, American Economic Review 102(2): 810-833.

Week 14. IDP and Refugees

Altindag, O., O. Bakis and S. Rozo (2020). “Blessing or burden? Impacts of Refugees on
Businesses and the Informal Economy”, Journal of Development Economics, 146: 1-22.

Engel, S. y A.M. Ibáñez (2007). “Displacement Due to Violence in Colombia: A Household
Level Analysis”, Economic Development and Cultural Change, 55(2): 335-365.